MLB: Top MLB Weekend Power Trends 5/1-5/3

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MLB: Top MLB Weekend Power Trends 5/1-5/3

The first weekend of May is well known in betting circles for the annual running of horse racing’s biggest event, the Kentucky Derby. However, there are still plenty of other options to choose from if you’re not an avid follower of “The Sport of Kings”. O

2009-05-05

The first weekend of May is well known in betting circles for the annual running of horse racing’s biggest event, the Kentucky Derby. However, there are still plenty of other options to choose from if you’re not an avid follower of “The Sport of Kings”. On the diamond, there are several intriguing series’ that will kick off the season’s second month. Already some interesting stories have unfolded. Several expected contenders are struggling, while many projected doormats are at or near the top of their respective divisions. It’s was a typical April as well, dominated by pitching, and streaking teams of all sorts. We’ll go through much of that as we preview this weekend’s top action while also delivering some of the Top StatFox Power Trends for you to consider in your wagering.

One month into the ’09 campaign, the three teams with the top records in baseball reside in the National League, and all are atop their divisions. In the Central, St. Louis owns the league’s top mark at 16-7, having gone 8-2 in its L10 contests. This weekend, the Cardinals are visiting, ironically, the league’s worst club, Washington, who sport’s a 5-16 mark. Life against the lowly Nationals has not been easy for St. Louis lately however, as prior to Thursday’s series opening win by the Cards, the teams had split their last 12 games. In the East, division leading Florida has gotten hot again, and travels to face one of its favorite opponents, the Cubs. The Marlins have been very streaky, winning their last three games after dropping their prior seven. In this head-to-head series, Florida has won 10 of the last 14 meetings. The West leading Dodgers are at home for a 4-game set vs. San Diego. L.A. won Thursday’s opener to extend to a 3-1/2 game lead in the division. The Padres are just 2-8 since opening the season on a 9-3 surge. Finally, red-hot Milwaukee, winners of eight of its L10 games, hosts Arizona in a 4-game set as well. The Brewers boast this weekend’s most prolific Top Trend in terms of won-lost percentage. See below.

In the junior circuit this weekend, the highlight series features a rematch of last year’s A.L. Championship tilt, and if Thursday’s series opener is any indication, the Rays will be picking up where they left off in October. Tampa Bay whipped Boston 13-0 in that contest, outhitting the Red Sox 18-1. The Rays are now 7-3 versus Boston in the L10 series meetings, and will need to extend that run if they are to chip into the 5-1/2 games currently separating the teams in the standings. Elsewhere in the American League, two of the preseason favorites for the pennant get together in New York, as the Yankees host the Angels. Neither team has played playoff caliber baseball to this point, but perhaps the turn of the calendar can inject a fire. Even despite New York’s 7-4 win in the series opener on Thursday, the Halos still own a 13-7 edge in the head-to-head series dating back to ’07.

Take a look at some of the top betting angles you can utilize on this weekend’s baseball board:

FLORIDA at CHICAGO CUBS
FLORIDA is 36-19 (+21.2 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was FLORIDA 5.0, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 2*)

NY METS at PHILADELPHIA
NY METS are 9-23 (-19.3 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5.3 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NY METS 4.6, OPPONENT 5.6 - (Rating = 2*)

ST LOUIS at WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 26-63 (-28.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 3.8, OPPONENT 5.4 - (Rating = 1*)

CINCINNATI at PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 11-24 (-15.3 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 3.9, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 1*)

HOUSTON at ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 8-20 (-14.9 Units) against the money line vs. a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 3.6, OPPONENT 5.0 - (Rating = 2*)

ARIZONA at MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 27-5 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 5.5, OPPONENT 2.7 - (Rating = 1*)

SAN DIEGO at LA DODGERS
SAN DIEGO is 25-51 (-23.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 3.6, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 1*)

COLORADO at SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-23 (-18.8 Units) against the money line vs. good baserunning teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 3.5, OPPONENT 5.9 - (Rating = 3*)

LA ANGELS at NY YANKEES
LA ANGELS are 24-12 (+11.5 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage of .345 or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA ANGELS 5.8, OPPONENT 4.8 - (Rating = 1*)

BALTIMORE at TORONTO
BALTIMORE is 25-56 (-26.5 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BALTIMORE 4.3, OPPONENT 5.8 - (Rating = 1*)

CLEVELAND at DETROIT
DETROIT is 30-47 (-28.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 4.8, OPPONENT 5.6 - (Rating = 2*)

BOSTON at TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 9-0 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 6.8, OPPONENT 2.7 - (Rating = 1*)

CHI WHITE SOX at TEXAS
CHI WHITE SOX are 55-32 (+20.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHI WHITE SOX 5.6, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 1*)

KANSAS CITY at MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 33-15 OVER (+17.0 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 4.3, OPPONENT 5.8 - (Rating = 2*)

OAKLAND at SEATTLE
SEATTLE is 29-55 (-27.3 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SEATTLE 3.9, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 1*)



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